You can vacation in Punta Gordo after, if there are any funds left. Heavy rains may extend across the rugged coastal area and adjacent islands. Given the mostly favorable conditions ahead of it, Nana could reach hurricane strength before landfall. 996 at landfall on a village by the bay with a poor way out, even in mild 60mph breezes, does not seem like fun if there is any surge at all. Maysak on Sept. 1. Typhoon Maysak is a powerful storm and may hit South Korea at a rare intensity for that country, threatening to cause widespread damage. Westerly wind shear was keeping the disorganized convection associated with TD 15 well east of the center of circulation. ... 2020 at 4:40 p.m. UTC. 24 HRS: 20.9N 136.8E – 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Okinotorishima waters Link to Gulf of Honduras Marine Chart. Moreover, the western half of Maysak will be passing over a cool wake left behind by Typhoon Bevi, which passed west of the Korea Peninsula just a week ago. Image from PAGASA PAGASA noted, however, that a gale warning remains in effect for … Every season has a certain amount of “Garbage” even blockbuster seasons such as 1933, more recently 2005. Typhoon Maysak, known in the Philippines as Typhoon Julian, was a deadly, damaging and powerful tropical cyclone that struck the Ryukyu Islands and the Korean Peninsula in September 2020. At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Maysak (955 hPa) located at 35.5N 128.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 80 knots with gusts of 115 knots. Did not quite poof away, but struggling. 48 HRS: 22.6N 133.5E – 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Sea South of Japan ======================= 210 nm from the center, Forecast and Intensity Tropical Cyclone Advisory #51 – 9:00 AM JST September 3 2020 TYPHOON MAYSAK (T2009) ===== Sea of Japan. Storm Force Winds Storm Force Winds A 110 knots from RSMC which is a T7.0 on the Dvorak intensity. “Happy to report I saw no major building damage on Kumejima which is to be expected, these islands are built for the strongest typhoons,” Reynolds tweeted. Fearsome Typhoon Maysak began angling toward the southern coast of South Korea on Tuesday, September 1, after swinging through Japan’s Kyushu Islands as the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane. 120 nm from the center, Gale Force Winds Min pressure: 999 mb What’s more, typhoons appear to be delivering stronger surges to the Busan area even after sea-level rise due to climate change is taken into account. Warning: if you live in the area affected by typhoon, follow all precautions recommended by your local police, fire department, medical services, and other official government organizations to minimize the impact of typhoon Maysak. Enter the South Hesse Oak Project: Years of summer heatwaves and minimal rainfall are damaging the country’s forests, with some native species like pine and oak struggling with the changing conditions.Researchers working on the project have had success planting downy oak trees, which normally grow in the Mediterranean and the south of France, in Frankfurt’s city forest … A low pressure area is trying to form east of the windward islands near 12n 54w. Hold on! (See all EOTS posts here. Website visitors can comment on “Eye on the Storm” posts (see below). West Northwest of the Northern Mariana Islands (Agrigan). The storm is moving towards the Korean Peninsula, with landfall expected near Busan, South Korea on September 2. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 12 knots. Holy crap! 24 HRS: 21.4N 135.9E – 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Okinotorishima waters (Ogasawara subprefecture) And still not at 7:45 AM with the low center just north of Barra Patuca at that time, but it sure is woking on it hard RI. This is another spot that has helped intensify storms often. For the Gulf of Honduras, this intensification enhancer has an ugly history of some serious monster hurricanes. When you utilize modern technology you have to name any system that meets the criteria for storm classification. ================================================= The top 10 weather and climate events of a record-setting year, Keeping up with fast pace of attribution science, Tropical Cyclone Yasa makes landfall in Fiji with 145 mph winds, Tropical Cyclone Yasa expected to slam Fiji as category 4 storm, https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/09/typhoons-maysak-and-hashien-may-deal-south-korea-a-one-two-punch/, https://twitter.com/elioeFIN/status/1301163235043946503, https://twitter.com/elioeFIN/status/1301163325951180801, http://www.gpsnauticalcharts.com/main/cb_gb_1573_0-gulf-of-honduras-nautical-chart.html, https://journals.ametsoc.org/jas/article/71/5/1623/27353/Hurricane-Eyewall-Evolution-in-a-Forced-Shallow, https://www.ecowatch.com/groundwater-wells-germany-run-dry-2647106696.html?rebelltitem=3#rebelltitem3, https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/europes-hedgehogs-starving-to-death-after-long-summer-drought-xnkqc3p8m, https://news.yahoo.com/trees-helping-german-forests-tackle-102330323.html. For the first time in the satellite era, no typhoons were reported during July. As Nana parallels the Honduras coast, its strongest winds are expected to remain offshore on the right-hand (north) side. Tropical Cyclone Advisory #49 – 3:00 AM JST September 3 2020 . Typhoon Maysak could become one of South Korea’s strongest typhoons on record. Maysak will then target South Korea beginning Wednesday night. These warm waters will give a major boost to Haishen as it heads toward Japan. Over land Korean Peninsula. Every season has a certain amount of “Garbage” even blockbuster seasons such as 1933, more recently 2005. ================================================= Germany’s Groundwater Wells Are Running Dry Amid Climate Crisis Moving: W at 16 mph Unless they traverse the jungle, it looks like the only escape route to any higher land. Japan Meteorological Agency Hurricane chaser James Reynolds (@EarthUncutTV) documented shrieking winds and huge waves. 60 nm from the center, Gale Force Winds I hope you get some rain. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0166.1 ), There is a more current post by Mr Henson Accessed September 2, 2020. ================= On Tuesday morning, September 1, NOAA’s National Hurricane Center (NHC) dubbed a strong disturbance south of Jamaica Potential Tropical Cyclone 16. =================== ======================= If it holds together, this system would not reach the longitude of the Lesser Antilles until next week. In this case, Maysak would have to rebuild a new eyewall quickly under less-than-optimal conditions before making landfall. At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Maysak (950 hPa) located at 32.1N 127.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. 50 nm from the center, Gale Force Winds Convection, shear, collapse, rinse and repeat. typhoon maysak 2020 track. (Note: Bring goggles, swim fins and a snorkle). A 2016 study in the Journal of Coastal Research led by Sang Myeong Oh found that typhoon landfalls from 1962 to 2014 drove a seven-inch increase in the annual maximum surge height (AMSH) in Busan, a rate of increase about 50% higher than the local trend in mean sea level (MSL). On this date, in 1935, the Keys hurricane occurred. Cue today’s takeoff for Tropical Storm Nana. A 2016 study in the Journal of Coastal Research led by Sang Myeong Oh found that typhoon landfalls from 1962 to 2014 drove a seven-inch increase in the annual maximum surge height (AMSH) in Busan, a rate of increase about 50% higher than the local trend in mean sea level (MSL). Maysak then will angle leftward, taking an unusual course near the peninsula’s east coast that could bring torrential rains and high wind across both South Korea and North Korea and into far northeast China as the typhoon transitions into a strong extratropical storm. That track would put the Busan area on the storm’s more dangerous eastern side. ================================================= At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Maysak (965 hPa) located at 38.8N 129.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 100 knots. There is also the possibility of an eyewall replacement cycle, the “shedding” of an old eyewall that can reduce a tropical cyclone’s strength for a day or so. More information: Feifan Zhou et al, On the Prospects for Improved Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2020). Maysak rapidly intensified i… ================= At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Haishen (990 hPa) located at 19.3N 141.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. These are measured windspeeds: km/h(m/s) 고산(제주) 169(47) 지귀도(서귀포) 129(35.8 ) More trouble lies on the horizon with Tropical Storm Haishen, now gathering strength in the Northwest Pacific. Typhoon "Maysak" became the strongest typhoon of the year on August 31, 2020, with its eye passing very close to Kume Island, Okinawa Prefecture, Japan. The cyclone is reported as moving north northeast at 18 knots. Typhoon 202009 (MAYSAK) General Information Detailed Track Information Track Information on Google Maps Forecast History on Google Maps Access Analytics Map List of … Monsoon and typhoon season over the tropical Northwest Pacific had been remarkably calm until the last few days of August. ================= Now we have the prospect of a 120kt monster coming in just south of Busan. All things considered, it remains possible that Maysak will strike South Korea with a central pressure below the national record of 950 mb, as consistently indicated by multiple runs of the HWRF model (one of the best for tropical cyclone intensity). Typhoon Maysak strengthened further on Tuesday, September 1, as it continues to track towards the Korean peninsula ahead of its forecast landfall on the southern coast on Wednesday, September 2. Location: 17.1°N 85.1°W No reruns please. Morning everyone….lots going on in the Atlantic basin today, but there is flash flooding potential closer to home (south-central US)….it’s not often, this time of year, that a “high” risk for flash flooding (rainfall) is issued for something not associated with a tropical system….but the combination of a trough over TX, frontal boundary to the north and high pressure to the south has done just that…. Typhoon Maysak was moving north through the East China Sea early on Sept. 2 when NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite passed overhead and captured a … The cyclone is reported as moving north at 12 knots. https://journals.ametsoc.org/jas/article/71/5/1623/27353/Hurricane-Eyewall-Evolution-in-a-Forced-Shallow. At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Haishen (975 hPa) located at 20.0N 139.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 65 knots with gusts of 95 knots. EarlyAlert's Tropical Weather Center provides you with the latest tropical storm and hurricane weather information. At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Maysak (950 hPa) located at 33.2N 127.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. Fearsome Typhoon Maysak began angling toward the southern coast of South Korea on Tuesday, September 1, after swinging through Japan’s Kyushu Islands as the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane. =================== Look at the water vapor Loop, the diving low Levi talked about caught up with the unstacked upper level in the northwest blob, shoved the convection in the lower level of Nana southeast, and the Latest flight data shows Nana’s LL Low circulation in the upper right edge of the Southeast blob of convection. Reed, get that passport in hand, reserve the plane ticket, and your bags and that sensor kit packed, start a “go fund my chase of Nana landfall”, we can all kick in for a burro to traverse Barranco road brother. Maysak’s eastern eyewall – the most dangerous part of this storm – passed directly over Japan’s tiny Kume Island on Monday night. Even if Maysak passes far enough west of Busan to spare the city its strongest winds, the storm’s broad, powerful circulation likely will push a substantial storm surge toward the Busan area, where the geography is particularly prone to surge impacts. 24 HRS: 45.2N 126.4E – Extratropical Low Over land northeastern China, Tropical Cyclone Advisory #19 – 21:00 PM JST September 2 2020 I am gonna dream she poofs out for the sake of those in the path. Sign up to receive notices of new postings here. I just saw the model shift of Haishen from last night. Like sheer and close land there is going to disturb the intensification a bunch. Storm Force Winds ================================================= Haishen after wasting a little time earlier , now forming an eyewall. TYPHOON MAYSAK (T2009) The earliest fourteenth storm of any Atlantic season in records back to 1851 is Nate (September 5, 2005), so this year is likely to continue setting a record pace. 60 km West Southwest of Goto (Nagasaki Prefecture). Moderate to strong wind shear (10-20 knots) will be the main cap on any rapid strengthening of Nana. Basic Information Birth 2020-08-28 06:00:00 UTC: Death (Latest) 2020-09-03 06:00:00 UTC: Lifetime 144 (hours) / 6.000 (days) Lifetime [JMA] “Power is out in many places and lots of cleaning up to be done.”. ... Track Santa’s journey across the globe with NORAD’s tracker. I suspect the wave coming off Africa will bbeanve 92L and the one east of the windwards will be 93L, https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=16L&product=ir-dvorak. Tropical Depression 15 continued to spin on Wednesday morning about 140 miles east-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Read More. 180 nm from the center, Forecast and Intensity 24 HRS: 46.8N 125.5E – Extratropical Low Over land northeastern China, Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21 – 3:00 AM JST September 3 2020 https://news.yahoo.com/trees-helping-german-forests-tackle-102330323.html, Euro’s precipitation outlook for the next 10 days with me in the white zero-zone, again . NHC is now pegging a wave just coming off Africa with a 40% chance of development between Thursday and Sunday as it heads west across warm tropical waters. 2020 JTWC 10W forecast map.wp1020.gif 1,417 × 1,126; 99 KB Storm way north, storm way south, two yellow x yep, it’s September. Being in shallow water under 100 feet deep, after being in water thousands of feet deep, well I’d have to think that could cause a disruption in the heating around the core. Synoptic Time: Latitude: Longitude: Intensity: 2020-09-03 12:00: 45.5: 127.1: 55: 2020-09-03 … 24 HRS: 20.8N 137.9E – 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Okinotorishima waters We just got 1/4 inch of rain after a three-week dry spell in Chicagoland. I understand it’s important, and very useful, just bugs my brain. Gulf of Honduras is a very shallow body of water. Yale Climate Connections (2020, September 1) Typhoon Maysak on track to slam South Korea. I’ll still have to water the gardens. The GFS 12z is not even being funny showing that storm approaching LA coast at 384 hrs. 100 km Northwest of Goto (Nagasaki Prefecture). As one might expect in the warming climate, the lack of activity to churn up the waters allowed the Northwest Pacific to warm to record or near-record levels (see image below). Several hours after making landfall near the city of Busan, Typhoon Maysak has crossed over the provinces of North and South Gyeongsang and has emerged over the East Sea (Sea of Japan). well, it’s there in the latest advisory. Hot shallow water is an enhancer. Long-range models show that Haishen could reach Category 4 strength on a course that will take it over or near southwest Japan by Sunday, and perhaps toward the Korean peninsula as a weakening system after that. As it moves across very warm waters (SSTs of 30°C or 86°F), the depression could briefly bump up to minimal tropical storm strength before it gives in to the destructive effects of rapidly increasing wind shear. The next two names on the Atlantic list are Nana and Omar. They are not “Garbage” when they are a threat to mariners and coastal residents. Too many colliding forces of nature there and conditions to even guess, eyes are buggy, night all…Nana is going to do what she is going to do, and so is that shear. On the plus side, Maysak has embarked on a weakening trend that will cut its top winds prior to landfall. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 9 knots. 2020, what are you even doing?!? A peak wind gust of 54 meters per second (about 122 mph) was reported at Kitihara on Kume Island, which received almost nine inches of rain in 24 hours, according to weather.com’s Jonathan Erdman. KMA still puts the track roughly 100km East, compared to other agencies. Media in category "Typhoon Maysak (2020)" The following 3 files are in this category, out of 3 total. 48 HRS: 23.1N 132.9E – 105 knots (CAT 5/Intense Typhoon) Sea South of Japan Typhoon Haishen is an escalating threat to portions of Japan and the Korean Peninsula over the coming days, with the threat of destructive winds and heavy rainfall. A tropical storm watch was issued for Belize and the north coast of Honduras. Forecast and Intensity The system was upgraded to Tropical Storm Nana on Tuesday afternoon. 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